Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for Shawn Armstrong

403rd out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Shawn Armstrong

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

114th out of 568 (Best 21%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna
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Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 37.6% chance of reaching base vs Shawn Armstrong, which is 2.4% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Armstrong.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.6%28.1%2.9%8.5%16.7%9.4%24.3%
Ozuna+2.4+5.2-0.4+3.1+2.5-2.8-2.6
Armstrong+3.4+1.9+0.1+2.1-0.3+1.6+1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Shawn Armstrong is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Shawn Armstrong throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Cutter (R)
31%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Shawn Armstrong strikes out 13.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% -2.2% 3%         Walk +2.3% +1.1% 41%         In Play -4.3% +1.1% 39%         On Base +4.2% +1.5% 31%         Hit +1.9% +0.4% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +0.9% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years