Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Will Smith

387th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

Will Smith

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

111st out of 568 (Best 20%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 37.1% chance of reaching base vs Will Smith, which is 1.9% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Smith.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.1%	23.6%	4.4%	5.3%	13.9%	13.5%	21.2%
Ozuna	+1.9	+0.7	+1.0	-0.1	-0.3	+1.3	-5.7
Smith	+2.9	-1.5	+1.0	-0.3	-2.2	+4.3	+3.0

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Will Smith is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Will Smith throws a Slider 44% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (L)

44%

4-Seam (L)

42%

Curve (L)

11%

23% of Will Smith's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Meatball 7%

+2%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Mid Challenge 11%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

55% of Will Smith's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 55%

+26%

Very Slow Velo 38%

+21%

Medium Break 30%

+21%

High Ride 22%

+12%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Will Smith strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +4.9% 3%

Walk +2.3% -0.6% 41%

In Play -4.3% -4.3% 39%

On Base +4.2% -4.0% 31%

Hit +1.9% -3.5% 14%

Single -0.6% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.5% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.4%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Will Smith induces Standard Grounders at a 26.2% rate, which is 8.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -8.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -2.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +4.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -1.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +1.4% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +3.4% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +1.5%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 21.0% of batted balls allowed by Will Smith are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +3.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +2.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -2.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -3.3%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 16.1% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%