Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Chris Sale

201st out of 436 (Best 47%)

Chris Sale

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

528th out of 568 (Worst 7%)

Moderate advantage for Sale

Marcell Ozuna has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Chris Sale, which is 3.9% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Sale.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.3%	20.7%	2.1%	5.3%	13.3%	10.6%	38.6%
Ozuna	-3.9	-2.3	-1.2	-0.1	-0.9	-1.6	+11.7
Sale	+1.0	-2.0	+0.0	-0.3	-1.7	+2.9	+7.5

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Chris Sale is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Ozuna has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Sale throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

39%

Slider (L)

38%

Changeup (L)

15%

8% of Chris Sale's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-4%

46% of Chris Sale's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 46%

+30%

Large Drop 28%

+23%

Extreme Slow Velo 22%

+13%

Breaking (L) 38%

+8%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Chris Sale strikes out 23.2% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +11.2% 3%

Walk +2.3% -2.1% 41%

In Play -4.3% -9.1% 39%

On Base +4.2% -4.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% -2.7% 14%

Single -0.6% -0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.1% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.6%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Chris Sale induces Standard Grounders at a 35.1% rate, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +2.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -0.4%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 21.4% of batted balls allowed by Chris Sale are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +4.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -2.9%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 13.0% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%