Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for Ryan Pressly

409th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Ryan Pressly

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

303rd out of 568 (Worst 47%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna
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Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 35.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Pressly, which is 0.6% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 5.1% higher than batters facing Pressly.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.7%21.9%3.0%5.1%13.8%13.8%26.0%
Ozuna+0.6-1.0-0.3-0.3-0.4+1.6-0.9
Pressly+5.1+1.1+0.6+0.2+0.3+4.0+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Pressly is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Pressly throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
32%
   Curve (R)
27%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Ryan Pressly strikes out 20.4% of the batters he faces, which is 8.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% +8.6% 3%         Walk +2.3% -0.2% 41%         In Play -4.3% -8.4% 39%         On Base +4.2% -4.1% 31%         Hit +1.9% -3.9% 14%         Single -0.6% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -1.4% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -1.4%

History

Marcell Ozuna has 1 plate appearance against Ryan Pressly in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-17Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.