Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Merrill Kelly

387th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

Merrill Kelly

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

264th out of 568 (Best 47%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Merrill Kelly, which is 0.1% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.5% higher than batters facing Kelly.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.1%	24.2%	3.6%	5.4%	15.2%	10.9%	24.6%
Ozuna	-0.1	+1.2	+0.2	0.0	+1.0	-1.3	-2.3
Kelly	+3.5	+0.8	+0.6	+0.3	0.0	+2.7	+2.4

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Merrill Kelly is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Merrill Kelly throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

30%

Changeup (R)

21%

Cutter (R)

17%

Sinker (R)

16%

Curve (R)

13%

18% of Merrill Kelly's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Likely Ball 19%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

29% of Merrill Kelly's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 29%

+19%

Extreme Break 25%

+10%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+10%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Merrill Kelly strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +1.4% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.2% 41%

In Play -4.3% -0.1% 39%

On Base +4.2% +0.1% 31%

Hit +1.9% +1.4% 14%

Single -0.6% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +2.7% 0.0%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Merrill Kelly induces Standard Grounders at a 37.8% rate, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +3.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -2.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.0% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -1.2% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.5%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 26.0% of batted balls allowed by Merrill Kelly are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% 0.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +1.7%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 12.0% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%