Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for David Robertson

385th out of 436 (Worst 12%)

David Robertson

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

475th out of 568 (Worst 17%)

Leans in favor of Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs David Robertson, which is 1.1% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.6% higher than batters facing Robertson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.0%	20.1%	2.8%	4.5%	12.8%	14.0%	36.4%
Ozuna	-1.1	-2.9	-0.5	-0.9	-1.4	+1.7	+9.5
Robertson	+4.6	+0.4	+0.5	+0.3	-0.4	+4.2	+2.5

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. David Robertson is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Ozuna has a B grade vs this particular release point.

David Robertson throws a Cutter 52% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

52%

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

Slider (R)

17%

8% of David Robertson's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-3%

26% of David Robertson's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 26%

+17%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

Breaking (R) 46%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 30%

+15%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. David Robertson strikes out 20.9% of the batters he faces, which is 8.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +8.8% 3%

Walk +2.3% +1.6% 41%

In Play -4.3% -10.4% 39%

On Base +4.2% -5.3% 31%

Hit +1.9% -6.8% 14%

Single -0.6% -3.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.9% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.8%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. David Robertson induces Standard Grounders at a 37.8% rate, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +3.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -1.9% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.1%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by David Robertson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -1.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -1.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +2.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +1.0%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +4.7% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.5% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -1.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -0.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.7% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -0.2%

Marcell Ozuna has 6 plate appearances against David Robertson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	1	0	1	0	2	0	0.167
Expected From Contact →			0.99	0.01	0.93	0.05			0.166

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-21	Pop Out				100%
2023-06-08	Strikeout
2022-09-18	Double		93%	5%	2%
2022-08-03	Pop Out				100%
2022-06-17	Flyout				99%
2022-04-27	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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