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Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Rich Hill

395th out of 436 (Worst 10%)

Rich Hill

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

out of 568 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 37.1% chance of reaching base vs Rich Hill, which is 1.9% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.9% higher than batters facing Hill.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.1%	23.0%	3.6%	4.6%	14.9%	14.1%	27.4%
Ozuna	+1.9	+0.0	+0.2	-0.8	+0.7	+1.9	+0.6
Hill	+3.9	+0.6	+0.7	+0.1	-0.2	+3.3	+3.0

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Rich Hill is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Ozuna has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Rich Hill throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

43%

Curve (L)

37%

Cutter (L)

Slider (L)

13% of Rich Hill's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 16%

-3%

44% of Rich Hill's pitches are classified as Slow Lob Velocity, which is 41% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Slow Lob 44%

+41%

Extreme Break 35%

+33%

Extreme Drop 37%

+32%

Breaking (L) 42%

+13%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Rich Hill strikes out 21.6% of the batters he faces, which is 8.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +8.6% 3%

Walk +2.3% -0.4% 41%

In Play -4.3% -8.3% 39%

On Base +4.2% -5.2% 31%

Hit +1.9% -4.9% 14%

Single -0.6% -1.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.2% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.9%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Rich Hill induces Standard Grounders at a 33.6% rate, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -0.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -1.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +1.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +1.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -2.0% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.3%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 26.2% of batted balls allowed by Rich Hill are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -1.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +1.9%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 14.6% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -1.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +0.6% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +0.5% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +0.7% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -1.3% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +3.2% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -2.5% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +0.3%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Rich Hill in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.02	0.00	0.01	0.01			0.011

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-08-09	Pop Out			1%	98%
2022-08-09	Flyout				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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