Matchup Machine

David Peralta

matchup for Yu Darvish

315th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

Yu Darvish

matchup for David Peralta

257th out of 568 (Best 46%)

Moderate advantage for Peralta

David Peralta has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 0.9% lower than Peralta's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Darvish.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.8%	25.4%	3.0%	5.4%	17.0%	5.3%	22.0%
Peralta	-0.9	+1.0	+0.8	+0.5	-0.4	-1.8	-0.9
Darvish	+1.5	+3.3	-0.2	-0.2	+3.6	-1.7	-1.4

David Peralta is better vs right-handed pitching. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Peralta has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. David Peralta has a C grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

26%

4-Seam (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

12%

Splitter (R)

Curve (R)

14% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. David Peralta has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

28% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. David Peralta has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 28%

+15%

Small Break 20%

+9%

11.7% of David Peralta's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.8% +6.7% 5%

Walk -1.3% -1.6% 37%

In Play +6.2% -5.1% 39%

On Base +4.4% -4.8% 31%

Hit +5.7% -3.2% 14%

Single +2.9% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +3.1% -1.2% 3%

Home Run -0.3% -0.5%

37.7% of David Peralta's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. Yu Darvish induces Standard Grounders at a 34.2% rate, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.3% -0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +0.9% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.6% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.6% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.6% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.3% +1.7% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +0.4%

28.7% of David Peralta's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Yu Darvish are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.2% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.4% +1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.8% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.4% -2.8%

9.2% of David Peralta's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. 12.4% of batted balls allowed by David Peralta are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.4% -1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.7% -2.4% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% +0.5% 18%

7 to 18° +2.1% -0.3% 15%

19 to 28° -2.5% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° -2.3% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° -1.5% 0.0% 8%

Above 50° -0.8% +2.9%

David Peralta has 11 plate appearances against Yu Darvish in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 9 with a double and 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	11	9	2	0	1	1	2	2	0.222
Expected From Contact →			2.20	0.15	1.10	0.95			0.245

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-04	Lineout		17%	46%	37%
2023-08-04	Flyout				99%
2023-08-04	Double	13%	75%	3%	8%
2023-05-05	Groundout			6%	94%
2023-05-05	Double Play
2022-07-15	Single	1%	15%	40%	45%
2022-07-15	Strikeout
2022-07-15	Strikeout
2022-04-07	Walk
2022-04-07	Flyout		2%		98%
2022-04-07	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History